Prediction Markets
Three Champions League contender markets resolved today as Nice, Napoli, and Slavia Prague were eliminated from the competition. Today's resolutions highlight the volatile...
Our daily order book scan covering 80 markets found no significant resting liquidity above the $50k detection threshold. This unusual absence of whale-scale orders could indicate institutional players are sitting on the sidelines or have moved...
Breaking News
Fed Chair Speculation Frenzy: Trump’s Next Pick Drives $185M+ in Political Betting
The Big Picture A tsunami of speculation around Trump's potential Federal Reserve Chair nominees dominated prediction markets today, with five separate Fed Chair markets accounting...
Prediction Market Daily Intelligence Brief – March 4, 2026
TL;DR Snapshot Fed Chair succession markets dominate with Warsh leading at 94% on Kalshi vs Shelton at 0.1% on Polymarket Iran strike markets showing unanimous pricing...
The Sports Handle: Kalshi Claims March Madness Crown in $96M Volume Day
The State of the Market The prediction markets are roaring with $96.1M in 24-hour sports volume, showcasing a decisive platform split. Kalshi captured $61.3M of...
The 1% Club: $97.9M Floods the ‘Trump-Shelton Fed Chair’ Market at 5¢
The Black Swan Warning While mainstream consensus gives Judy Shelton virtually no chance at the Fed chair position, someone is making an extraordinary bet on...
Market Equilibrium: No Actionable Cross-Platform Spreads Today
Efficient Markets Prevail In a demonstration of cross-platform efficiency, no actionable arbitrage opportunities exist between Kalshi and Polymarket as of 19:48 UTC. This price convergence...
The Market Primary: Fed Chair Market Shows Heavy Volume as Shelton Odds Hold at 5%
The National Index: Trump-Shelton Fed Chair Nomination The highest-volume political market today centered on former President Trump's potential nomination of Judy Shelton to lead the...
Survival of the Fittest: EPL Prediction Markets Enter Mid-Week Hibernation
The Matchday Macro No dominant EPL market is active right now — the ecosystem is in a quiet phase between fixtures. Acute Adaptations: The Biggest 24-Hour...
The Daily Shift: Markets Quiet as Volume Dries Up Across Platforms
In an unusually calm trading session, no prediction markets registered significant price movements backed by meaningful liquidity in the past 24 hours. Total trading...
The Final Countdown: Markets Quiet as Resolution Window Opens
The Main Event The prediction markets are experiencing an unusual lull, with no high-volume contracts set to expire in the immediate window. This marks a...
Trading the Forecast: Light Volume Day as Markets Track Multiple Systems
The Macro Climate No dominant macro-climate market is commanding disproportionate volume today — the ecosystem is monitoring multiple developing systems without clear consensus. Total weather...
Whale Watch: $75K NO Bet on Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination
A major trader has placed a substantial bet against Kevin Warsh receiving a Federal Reserve Chair nomination, signaling growing skepticism...