Augsburg Host a Hoffenheim Side Built to Score — and That Is Precisely the Problem

Last Updated on April 9, 2026 8:55 pm by ZUWP Automation

Kramarić, Asllani, Lemperle: can the WWK Arena contain the most dangerous attack in this fixture’s recent history?

FC Augsburg arrive at their own ground having won just two of their last five matches, with three of those five played away from home. TSG Hoffenheim make the trip carrying an attacking roster that, on paper, dwarfs anything the hosts can offer in return. The gap between these squads in terms of individual quality is the story of this fixture before a ball has been kicked.

Match Details

• Fixture: FC Augsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
• Venue: WWK Arena
• Date: 10 April 2026
• Competition: Bundesliga 2025/26

The Attacking Imbalance That Defines This Fixture

Hoffenheim’s forward line is, by any measure, the dominant narrative here. Andrej Kramarić has 10 goals in 26 appearances this season, ranking 12th in the Bundesliga for goals scored, with only Harry Kane and Luis Díaz ahead of him among the players ranked in the top two. Fisnik Asllani sits directly behind him with 8 goals and 6 assists from the same number of outings, averaging 2.2 shots per game. Tim Lemperle adds another 7 goals in just 21 appearances.

That is 25 goals between three players. Augsburg’s leading scorer this season is Alexis Claude-Maurice, who has contributed 4 goals and 5 assists across 23 matches, ranking 66th in the division for goals. The disparity is not subtle.

Wouter Burger anchors the Hoffenheim midfield with a physicality that extends beyond his 4 goals and 6 assists: his 53 tackles place him 18th in the Bundesliga for that metric, and his 9 big chances created lead the visiting side. Vladimír Coufal, meanwhile, has created 12 big chances from wide areas, ranking 34th in the division for that category. Hoffenheim are not just a side that scores; they are a side that manufactures opportunities at a rate Augsburg will find difficult to suppress.

Form: One Side Stuttering, the Other No More Convincing

Neither side arrives in particularly convincing form, which makes this less of a straightforward prediction than the quality gap might suggest. Augsburg have gone 2W 1D 2L in their last five, with a 1-1 draw at Hamburger SV their most recent outing. The two defeats, a 0-2 loss at Borussia Dortmund and a 1-2 reverse at RB Leipzig, came against stronger opposition on the road. At home, they beat FC Köln 2-0 in February.

Hoffenheim’s five-match run reads 1W 2D 2L. They lost at home to FSV Mainz 05 last time out, 1-2, and were beaten by St. Pauli at the Sinsheim earlier in the run. Their only win in the sequence was a 4-2 away victory at Heidenheim. Two draws, against Wolfsburg and Köln, did little to build momentum. There is fragility here, despite the individual talent on the pitch.

The question for Augsburg is whether they can exploit that inconsistency, or whether Hoffenheim’s attacking depth will eventually tell regardless of the visitors’ erratic form.

Key Players to Watch

The duel that will shape this match most directly is the one between Hoffenheim’s front three and Augsburg’s defensive midfield. Han-Noah Massengo has made 37 tackles and 36 interceptions across 26 appearances for Augsburg, the highest combined defensive output in their midfield. Robin Fellhauer leads the squad with 50 tackles, ranking 24th in the Bundesliga. These are players built to disrupt rather than create.

Whether that disruption is enough to contain Kramarić is the central question. The Croatian forward averages 2 shots per game, has 25 on target from 51 total, and has created 6 big chances for teammates. He does not need many moments. He converts them.

For Augsburg, Claude-Maurice carries the creative burden. His 21 key passes and 5 big chances created lead the side, and his 104 duels won suggest he fights for every inch. He will need to, against a Hoffenheim side that has Bazoumana Touré — 7 assists, 8 big chances created — providing supply from wide positions.

Head to Head

The recent history between these sides offers Augsburg little comfort. In their last three meetings, Hoffenheim have won once, with the other two matches drawn. Augsburg are yet to win any of those three encounters.

Last time they met

The most recent fixture, played at Hoffenheim on 29 November 2025, ended in a 3-0 home win for the visitors-turned-hosts. Augsburg were beaten comprehensively, a result that will sit in the memory of both dressing rooms as this rematch approaches at the WWK Arena. Hoffenheim arrive knowing they dismantled Augsburg not long ago; Augsburg arrive knowing they have not beaten this side in three attempts.

Season Stats Comparison

The individual statistics tell a story of two sides operating at noticeably different levels of output. Hoffenheim’s top scorer outpaces Augsburg’s by six goals. Their top assister, Touré, has two more assists than Augsburg’s leader. Burger’s tackle count edges Fellhauer’s narrowly, but Hoffenheim’s chance creation is considerably richer across the board.

The chance creation gap is the most telling figure. Coufal’s 12 big chances created against Rieder’s 5 underlines the difference in attacking output between the two sides, and it is a gap Augsburg will need to close through defensive organisation rather than matching Hoffenheim ball for ball.

What the Bookmakers Say

The market is unambiguous about where it stands. Across four bookmakers, Hoffenheim are clear favourites: Pinnacle price them at +107 (implied probability of approximately 48%), while Augsburg are available at between +215 and +235 (roughly 30-32% implied). The draw sits in the +255 to +275 range. There is meaningful consensus here, with a disagreement score of zero across the moneyline market.

On totals, the line sits at 2.75 goals with some spread between books: Pinnacle offer the over/under at 3 goals, while BetMGM set it at 2.5. That divergence reflects a match the market expects to produce goals, though without certainty about the volume. No steam move has been detected, and the line has not moved from opening.

The spread market at Pinnacle has Hoffenheim at -0.25, priced at -123. It is a modest handicap, suggesting the market respects Augsburg’s capacity to keep this competitive even while backing the visitors to edge it.

The Match That Will Settle the Argument

Hoffenheim carry superior individual quality into the WWK Arena, a recent 3-0 win over this same Augsburg side, and an attacking trio that has combined for 25 goals this season. Augsburg’s best hope lies in their defensive work rate, the home pitch, and the visitors’ own inconsistency over the past five weeks. Whether Augsburg’s organised, hard-working defensive structure can neutralise the threat of Kramarić, Asllani and Lemperle for ninety minutes is the question this fixture will answer. The answer, given everything the numbers suggest, is far from guaranteed.