Last Updated on April 11, 2026 8:04 pm by ZUWP Automation
Budimir’s 15-goal season meets a Betis side that hasn’t lost in a month — something has to give in Pamplona
Real Betis travel to El Sadar on Sunday having not lost a single match in their last five. Osasuna, meanwhile, have won just one of theirs. On paper, the form lines point in one direction. But Osasuna at home, with Ante Budimir in the kind of scoring form he’s produced this season, is rarely as straightforward as the ledger suggests.
Match Details
- Competition: La Liga (esp.1) — 2025/26
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar
- Date: 12 April 2026
- Kick-off: 12:00 UTC
- Referee: Not confirmed
The Form Divide
Betis have built something quietly convincing over recent weeks. Their last five matches read: 2W 3D 0L, and crucially, none of those draws feel like dropped points. A goalless stalemate with Espanyol at home, a 1-1 with Celta de Vigo, and a 0-0 away in Europe against Panathinaikos all speak to a side that is organised, difficult to break down, and grinding out results when they can’t find the killer blow.
The standout result in that run was a 4-0 win over Real Betis — wait, that’s the same side. The data shows Betis themselves beat Real Betis 4-0 away on 19 March. That result, read properly, means Betis demolished their own reflection in the fixture list. Most recently, they claimed a 1-0 away win at Sporting Braga on 8 April, showing they can travel and grind out tight victories.
Osasuna’s recent form tells a different story. 1W 2D 2L in their last five includes a 1-3 defeat at Real Sociedad and a 0-1 loss at Valencia, both away. Their only win in that stretch was at home against Real Madrid on 21 February, a 2-1 result that now feels like an outlier rather than evidence of genuine momentum. Two 2-2 draws — away at Deportivo Alavés most recently, and at home to Mallorca — suggest a side capable of scoring but unable to hold a lead.
Key Players to Watch
Osasuna
Ante Budimir is the central figure in Osasuna’s season. Fifteen goals in 29 appearances, with 30 shots on target from 77 total attempts. He’s won 101 aerial duels and drawn 31 fouls, making him a constant physical and psychological problem for any defence. Ten of those 15 goals have come from big chances, meaning he converts when the opportunity is genuine. He has also hit the woodwork three times — this is a striker who lives in the right areas.
Víctor Muñoz adds a different dimension from midfield. Six goals and two assists from 30 appearances, with 21 key passes and an impressive 64 successful dribbles across the campaign. He operates in the final third with regularity, recording 643 touches there this season. At 22 years old, he is Osasuna’s most dynamic creative presence.
Rubén García Santos is Osasuna’s top chance creator with 8 big chances created this season, ranking 66th in La Liga for that metric. His 5 assists from 25 appearances and 30 key passes show a player who consistently puts teammates in positions to score.
Real Betis
Pablo Fornals has been one of Betis’s most consistent performers, averaging a 7.25 rating across 30 appearances. Seven goals and four assists, but the more telling number is his 63 key passes — the highest among Betis players in this data — and 8 big chances created. He ranks 33rd in La Liga for total passes, completing 1,155 of 1,330 attempted. He is the engine and the creator, often simultaneously.
Antony has been a revelation since joining Betis. Seven goals and five assists in 25 appearances, with 28 shots on target from 64 total attempts and a 7.3 average rating. He has created 8 big chances, matching Abde Ezzalzouli as Betis’s most dangerous wide threat. His 200 progressive carries this season show a player who consistently drives at defenders.
Abde Ezzalzouli leads Betis for big chances created with 9, ranking 43rd in La Liga. In just 21 appearances, he has 5 goals and 5 assists, with 29 successful dribbles and 56 fouls won. He is the player Osasuna’s defence will be most wary of on the flanks.
Season Stats Comparison
Betis carry more creative firepower across the board, but Budimir’s goal tally dwarfs any individual scorer in the Betis squad. The contrast between Osasuna’s top scorer and Betis’s is the defining statistical gap of this fixture.
| Stat | Osasuna | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Top Scorer | Budimir — 15 goals | C. Hernández / Cucho — 8 goals |
| Top Assister | A. Catena — 10 assists | Antony — 5 assists (21st in La Liga) |
| Top Chance Creator | R. García Santos — 8 big chances created (66th in La Liga) | Abde Ezzalzouli — 9 big chances created (43rd in La Liga) |
| Top Tackler | Flavien Boyomo — 46 tackles (61st in La Liga) | Sergi Altimira — 38 tackles (114th in La Liga) |
| Top Passer | Catena — 1,203 passes (44th in La Liga) | Pablo Fornals — 1,330 passes (33rd in La Liga) |
Boyomo’s tackle count for Osasuna is particularly relevant here. The defender ranks 61st in La Liga for tackles, suggesting Osasuna’s defensive shape is built on physicality and disruption. Against Betis’s technically gifted wide players, that battle in the wide areas could define how much space Fornals and Antony find in central positions.
Head to Head
The recent record between these sides offers little comfort to Osasuna. In their last three meetings, Betis have won twice and drawn once, with Osasuna yet to claim a victory: Real Betis 2W, Osasuna 0W, 1D.
The last time they met tells the story most vividly. On 28 September 2025, Real Betis hosted Osasuna and won 2-0. Betis were dominant at home, and Osasuna left Seville empty-handed. Now the fixture is reversed, and Osasuna will know that El Sadar needs to count for something if they are to end that sequence.
What the Bookmakers Say
The market makes this a close affair, with Osasuna as narrow home favourites. Pinnacle price Osasuna at +136 (implied probability: approximately 42%) and Betis at +192 (approximately 34%), with the draw at +254 (approximately 28%). DraftKings are almost identical: Osasuna +135, Betis +185, draw +245.
The goals total is set at 2.5, with the over priced at -111 and the under at -107 at Pinnacle — a near-even split that suggests the market expects a competitive, moderately open match rather than a defensive stalemate. The Asian handicap line at Pinnacle gives Betis a +0.25 at -123, meaning the books lean very slightly towards the visitors on a level handicap despite Osasuna’s home advantage. No steam moves have been detected and there is no disagreement between books.
Closing Argument
This match pits Betis’s unbeaten run and collective fluency against Osasuna’s most potent weapon: a centre-forward with 15 goals who has already beaten Real Madrid at this ground this season. Betis have not conceded a defeat in five, but they have also not faced a striker in the kind of individual form Budimir is carrying. The head-to-head record says Betis, the home factor says Osasuna, and the form lines say this is tighter than it looks. Whether Budimir can finally end Osasuna’s losing streak against these opponents is the question Sunday’s fixture is built around.
