Last Updated on April 10, 2026 10:51 am by ZUWP Automation
Kramarić has scored 10 this season. Augsburg’s top scorer has four. The gulf in cutting edge could define everything.
There are matches where the stakes are written in the table, and matches where they are written in the form. This one is both. Augsburg host Hoffenheim at the WWK Arena on Friday evening, and for two sides who have spent much of this Bundesliga season looking over their shoulders, the points on offer feel heavier than three.
Match Details
- Fixture: FC Augsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
- Venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg
- Date: 10 April 2026
- Kick-off: 18:30 UTC
Form Coming In
Augsburg arrive at this fixture with a record of 2W 1D 2L in their last five matches, a sequence that flatters to deceive on closer inspection. Both wins came against FC Köln and VfL Wolfsburg; the three away fixtures in that run yielded a draw at Hamburger SV and defeats to Borussia Dortmund (0-2) and RB Leipzig (1-2). Their home form is where Augsburg have found any semblance of solidity, but they have not been tested here by sides of Hoffenheim’s attacking quality in recent weeks.
Hoffenheim’s return of 1W 2D 2L in their last five is, if anything, slightly worse. Their sole win was a 4-2 victory away at Heidenheim in early March, and they have since failed to win at home, drawing with Wolfsburg (1-1) and losing to FSV Mainz 05 (1-2) in their most recent outing. Two home defeats in five is a pattern that will concern them ahead of a fixture where they need to travel and perform.
Neither side is arriving in form that inspires confidence. What separates them is the quality of the individuals capable of changing a match in a single moment.
Key Players to Watch
The most significant individual imbalance in this fixture is at the top of the pitch. Andrej Kramarić has 10 goals in 26 Bundesliga appearances this season, ranking 12th among all scorers in the division. He is averaging two shots per match and has put 25 of his 51 attempts on target, a conversion rate that makes him genuinely dangerous every time he receives the ball in threatening positions. His 31 key passes show he is more than a finisher; he links play and creates for others, too.
Augsburg’s top scorer, Alexis Claude-Maurice, has four goals in 23 appearances. That is not a criticism of Claude-Maurice as a player — his five assists and 21 key passes show he contributes across the pitch — but it illustrates the gulf in pure goal threat between these two sides. When Hoffenheim’s second-highest scorer, Fisnik Asllani, has eight goals and their third, Tim Lemperle, has seven, the collective firepower visiting the WWK Arena is considerably sharper than what Augsburg can muster in response.
Wouter Burger is another Hoffenheim player who demands attention. The midfielder has four goals, six assists, and leads his side in both tackles (53) and big chances created (9) this season. That combination of defensive industry and creative output makes him the engine of everything Hoffenheim do well. Vladimír Coufal, meanwhile, leads the side with 12 big chances created from his right-back position, ranking 34th in the entire Bundesliga for that metric.
For Augsburg, Dimitrios Giannoulis carries the most creative threat from wide areas, with 25 key passes and five big chances created. Han-Noah Massengo provides the defensive spine with 37 tackles, 36 interceptions, and 124 ball recoveries across 26 appearances. If Augsburg are to get anything from this match, their midfield will need to be disciplined and organised, limiting the space in which Kramarić and Asllani operate.
Season Stats at a Glance
The individual statistical comparison tells the story of a Hoffenheim side with considerably more weapons. Their top scorer ranks 12th in the Bundesliga; Augsburg’s ranks 66th. Their top assister, Bazoumana Touré with seven assists, ranks 12th in the division. Augsburg’s top assister is Claude-Maurice with five, ranked 30th.
| Stat | FC Augsburg | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Top Scorer | Claude-Maurice (4 goals, 66th in Bundesliga) | Kramarić (10 goals, 12th in Bundesliga) |
| Top Assister | Claude-Maurice (5 assists, 30th) | Touré (7 assists, 12th) |
| Top Tackler | Fellhauer (50 tackles, 24th) | Burger (53 tackles, 18th) |
| Top Chance Creator | Rieder (5 big chances created, 112th) | Coufal (12 big chances created, 34th) |
| Top Passer | Schlotterbeck (1,111 passes, 52nd) | Hajdari (1,136 passes, 47th) |
The passing numbers are broadly comparable, but the chance creation column is where the gap becomes stark. Hoffenheim have generated more than twice as many big chances through their leading creator as Augsburg have through theirs. Whether Augsburg’s defensive organisation can compensate for that deficit is the central tactical question of the evening.
Head to Head
The limited recent history between these sides does Augsburg few favours. In their last three meetings, Hoffenheim have one win and two draws, with Augsburg yet to take all three points. The most recent encounter, played at Hoffenheim in November 2025, ended in a 3-0 home victory for the visitors. That result will sit in Augsburg’s memory as they prepare to host the same opponents five months on.
What the Bookmakers Say
The market has Hoffenheim as narrow favourites, though the pricing reflects just how tight this contest is expected to be. Across four bookmakers, Hoffenheim are priced around +107 to +110 in American odds, implying a win probability of roughly 48 to 49 per cent. Augsburg are between +215 and +235, putting their implied win chance at around 30 per cent. The draw sits in the +255 to +275 range.
| Bookmaker | Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | +235 | +273 | +107 |
| DraftKings | +215 | +255 | +100 |
| BetMGM | +225 | +275 | +105 |
| Fanatics | +230 | +260 | +110 |
On totals, Pinnacle have set the line at 3 goals with Over priced at -106 and Under at -112, while BetMGM offer a lower line of 2.5 with Over at -185. The spread market has Hoffenheim at -0.25 on Pinnacle, priced at -123, reflecting a marginal edge rather than a dominant favourite. The disagreement between books on the totals line suggests some uncertainty about the scoring tempo of this particular fixture.
The Verdict
Augsburg have the home advantage and the defensive structure, built around the industry of Massengo and the tackling volume of Fellhauer, to make this uncomfortable for a Hoffenheim side that has not been winning away from home. But Kramarić, Asllani, and Lemperle represent a combined goal threat that Augsburg simply cannot match at the other end, and the 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture is a reminder of what this Hoffenheim attack can do when it clicks. The question is whether Augsburg’s organisation at the WWK Arena is enough to keep the visitors quiet long enough to find a way into the match themselves, or whether Hoffenheim’s firepower proves the difference between a side that can win ugly and one that cannot.
