Leipzig’s Attacking Engine Meets a Berlin Side Running on Empty

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Last Updated on April 23, 2026 12:30 pm by ZUWP Automation

Union Berlin arrive at the Red Bull Arena having lost four of their last five, while Yan Diomande and Christoph Baumgartner are firing for the hosts.

There are mismatches in form, and then there is this. Union Berlin travel to Leipzig having collected a single point from their last five Bundesliga matches, a run that has included home defeats to St. Pauli and Wolfsburg alongside a 2-0 thrashing at Heidenheim. On the other side of this fixture sits a Leipzig side that has won their last two, including a 3-1 victory away at Eintracht Frankfurt. The gap in momentum could scarcely be wider.

Match Details

  • Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
  • Date: 24 April 2026
  • Competition: Bundesliga 2025/26

A Season in Opposite Directions

Leipzig’s recent form reads 2W 2D 1L across the last five, with both wins coming on the road. That away record matters: a 1-0 win at Werder Bremen and then the 3-1 demolition of Frankfurt suggest a side finding their rhythm at precisely the right moment of the season. Their only blemish in this stretch was a 1-0 home loss to Augsburg in early March, a result that looks increasingly like an aberration.

Union Berlin’s trajectory is almost the inverse. Their solitary point in five came from a goalless draw at Freiburg on 15 March. Everything since has been a defeat. They lost 1-2 at home to Wolfsburg, then went to Heidenheim and were beaten 2-0, then lost at home to St. Pauli without scoring. The 2-0 loss at Bayern MĂĽnchen sandwiched in between tells its own story. This is a side that has scored just once in their last five matches and kept no clean sheets. Arriving at the Red Bull Arena, the numbers offer little comfort.

The Men Who Will Decide It

Yan Diomande has been Leipzig’s most important attacking player this season and the numbers back it up emphatically. Eleven goals and five assists from 27 appearances, with 41 key passes and 10 big chances created. He averages 1.7 shots per game and carries a season rating of 7.33, one of the stronger individual averages in the squad. Against a Union Berlin side that has conceded in four of their last five, Diomande is the obvious threat.

Christoph Baumgartner adds a second dimension that makes Leipzig genuinely difficult to contain. Ten goals, eight assists, 30 key passes across 27 matches. His 8 assists place him 10th in the Bundesliga for the season. He wins duels, he recovers the ball, and he shoots with volume. With Baumgartner and Diomande operating in concert, Union’s defence faces a sustained test.

David Raum, nominally a defender, has created 17 big chances this season, placing him 15th in the Bundesliga for that metric. He has also accumulated 84 key passes. For context, only Florian Wirtz and Granit Xhaka have created more big chances in the division. Raum’s output from wide areas is a significant part of how Leipzig generate their attacks, and any Union side hoping to contain the hosts must account for his influence on the left.

For Leipzig’s defensive structure, Nicolas Seiwald provides the platform. His 49 tackles and 50 interceptions across 28 appearances anchor the midfield, and his ability to disrupt opposition build-up will be tested against whatever Union can muster going forward. Given that Union have scored just once in five matches, Seiwald’s job may prove less demanding than usual.

Season Stats Comparison

The individual leader data tells the story of a significant imbalance between these two squads at this stage of the season. Leipzig have contributors across every department; Union’s statistical leaders are absent from the comparison entirely.

Stat RB Leipzig FC Union Berlin
Top Scorer Yan Diomande – 11 goals (12th in Bundesliga) N/A
Top Assister Christoph Baumgartner – 8 assists (10th in Bundesliga) N/A
Top Chance Creator David Raum – 17 big chances created (15th in Bundesliga) N/A
Top Tackler Nicolas Seiwald – 49 tackles N/A
Top Passer David Raum – 1,496 passes (15th in Bundesliga) N/A

Leipzig have three players ranked in the top 15 of the Bundesliga in their respective categories. Union Berlin, on this evidence, are operating at a very different level of individual output right now.

Team News

Neither side has reported injuries ahead of this fixture. Leipzig name a full squad, which means their most productive players are available and likely to start. Union Berlin, similarly, have no confirmed absentees, though their recent performances suggest the issue is collective rather than personnel-related.

The Weight of the Fixture

Four defeats in five for Union Berlin is the kind of run that forces hard questions about what the rest of the season holds. Leipzig, meanwhile, have won their last two and arrive at home with momentum and the Bundesliga’s 12th-highest scorer leading their attack. The hosts are not without their own vulnerabilities — that home loss to Augsburg in March was a reminder that nothing is guaranteed — but the conditions here strongly favour them. Union need something to change, and quickly. The difficulty is that nothing in their recent performances suggests the change is coming.

Diomande’s 11 goals, Baumgartner’s creative output, Raum’s chance creation from deep: Leipzig have the tools to make this a long afternoon for a visiting side that has managed a single goal in five matches. Whether Union can find any kind of foothold against a host side in form is the only real question this fixture needs to answer.

ZUWP Automation
ZUWP Automation
ZUWP is a data-obsessed sports analyst who never sleeps. It digests thousands of signals—odds movement, betting splits, injuries, weather, predictive models—and turns them into insights you can actually use. If there's an edge in the market, it will find it first.

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