Last Updated on February 27, 2026 10:58 am by ZUWP Automation
Sports Market Daily: $17.4M in 24h Volume as NBA MVP & EPL Markets Heat Up
A robust day of trading across sports prediction markets saw $17.4M in 24-hour volume, with Polymarket’s NBA and Premier League markets leading the action. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP odds have surged to 72.5%, while Tottenham’s EPL futures saw over $3.5M in fresh volume. Today’s report covers significant movement in championship futures, MVP races, and Champions League markets.
The Daily Scoreboard
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| New Markets (24h) | 0 |
| Active Markets (>$1K Volume) | 108 |
| Total Sports Volume (24h) | $17,398,883.17 |
The Morning Linebook & Key Terms
The sports prediction landscape today is dominated by long-term futures, with NBA MVP and European soccer championships commanding significant attention. Polymarket’s markets are showing particularly strong activity in basketball and soccer futures, with several markets exceeding $30M in lifetime volume.
- Volume: Total dollar value traded in the market’s lifetime.
- Open Interest (OI): Active capital currently locked in the market.
- Implied Probability: The market’s consensus probability (from yes_price/odds).
At a Glance
Trending
- Luka Doncic NBA MVP | Polymarket | 6.7%
- Portugal FIFA World Cup | Polymarket | 7.4%
- Norway FIFA World Cup | Polymarket | 2.5%
- Nikola Jokic NBA MVP | Polymarket | 15.3%
- Detroit Pistons NBA Finals | Polymarket | 8.0%
Top Movers
No qualifying markets in this category today.
New Markets
No qualifying markets in this category today.
The Whale Leaderboard
No significant smart money moves were detected today.
Cross-Market Arbitrage
Sports markets are highly efficient across Kalshi and Polymarket today with no significant arbitrage opportunities.
The Heavyweights (Volume Leaders)
Polymarket is showing exceptional strength in soccer and basketball futures, with several markets exceeding $30M in lifetime volume. The platform’s top markets include Leeds EPL futures ($38.3M volume) and Indiana Pacers NBA Finals markets ($36.7M volume). No Kalshi sports markets meet the volume threshold for this section today.
Kalshi’s Top Markets
No Kalshi sports markets meet the volume threshold for this section today.
Polymarket’s Top Markets
| Market | Volume | Implied Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds EPL Winner | $38,354,446 | 0.1% |
| Indiana Pacers NBA Finals | $36,774,565 | 0.1% |
| Memphis Grizzlies NBA Finals | $31,662,641 | 0.1% |
| Tottenham EPL Winner | $30,335,378 | 0.1% |
| Olympiakos Champions League | $20,145,759 | 0.3% |
The Heat Check (24h Action)
Kalshi’s Biggest Movers
No Kalshi sports markets meet the volume threshold for this section today.
Polymarket’s Biggest Movers
- Tottenham EPL Winner ($3.53M 24h volume) – Heavy action on Spurs’ title chances as they maintain their position in the top four race.
- Indiana Pacers NBA Finals ($2.40M 24h volume) – Significant volume suggests traders reassessing Pacers’ championship potential following recent performance.
- Luka Doncic NBA MVP ($854K 24h volume) – Fresh interest in Doncic’s MVP odds as he continues his stellar scoring run.
Futures Watch
2026 NBA Champion: San Antonio Spurs Leading Contenders
The NBA Championship futures market has seen an impressive $246.6M in total volume across all contenders, with resolution set for July 1, 2026. The San Antonio Spurs lead the pack with a 14.1% implied probability of winning it all.
| Contender | Platform | Implied Prob | Volume | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | Polymarket | 14.1% | $4,412,700 | — |
| Detroit Pistons | Polymarket | 8.0% | $4,031,220 | — |
| Boston Celtics | Polymarket | 6.0% | $4,158,547 | — |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | Polymarket | 6.8% | $3,170,607 | — |
| New York Knicks | Polymarket | 4.7% | $2,571,843 | — |
2025-26 NBA MVP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Dominates
The NBA MVP market has accumulated $7.86M in total volume, with resolution expected on June 10, 2026. SGA holds a commanding lead with 72.5% implied probability.
| Contender | Platform | Implied Prob | Volume | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Polymarket | 72.5% | $1,362,007 | — |
| Nikola Jokic | Polymarket | 15.3% | $1,738,475 | — |
| Luka Doncic | Polymarket | 6.7% | $1,411,337 | — |
| Cade Cunningham | Polymarket | 2.1% | $517,349 | — |
| Ja Morant | Polymarket | 0.1% | $1,931,777 | — |
2025-26 Champions League: Man City Leads the Way
The Champions League market has seen $107M in total volume, with the final scheduled for May 31, 2026. Manchester City leads with 10.5% implied probability.
| Contender | Platform | Implied Prob | Volume | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Polymarket | 10.5% | $1,317,932 | — |
| Real Madrid | Polymarket | 8.5% | $1,659,800 | — |
| Chelsea | Polymarket | 4.7% | $2,255,443 | — |
| Inter | Polymarket | 3.2% | $2,530,951 | — |
| Tottenham | Polymarket | 2.3% | $6,818,671 | — |
Sports Awards
| Market | Platform | Implied Prob | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant NBA MVP | Polymarket | 0.1% | $1,931,777 |
| Nikola Jokic NBA MVP | Polymarket | 15.3% | $1,738,475 |
| Luka Doncic NBA MVP | Polymarket | 6.7% | $1,411,337 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA MVP | Polymarket | 72.5% | $1,362,007 |
| Joel Embiid NBA MVP | Polymarket | 0.1% | $901,166 |
| Cade Cunningham NBA MVP | Polymarket | 2.1% | $517,349 |
The Toss-Up of the Day
No true toss-up markets were identified today.